Match Info

K League 2 - Round 28

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Cheongju Stadion (Cheongju)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Cheongju		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.00	2.45
	2.62	3.1	2.52
	2.8	3.35	2.69
	2.72	3.18	2.62	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.65
	2.69	3.16	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.65)	3.13 ↓ (3.26)	2.58 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheongju
34.7%

Draw
29.5%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheongju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Seongnam (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seongnam (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cho Seong-Been (G) 8. Bak Keon-Woo 18. Jo Ju-yeong 4. Park Jin-young 25. Bandeira 5. Kim Seon-Min (C) 80. Chico Geraldes 42. Jeong Jin-Woo 11. Garcia M. 13. Lee J. 14. Seo Jae-Won	1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 20. Lee Sang-Min (C) 4. Venicio 5. Yu Sun 7. Hong Chang-Beom 23. You Ju-An 14. Elionay 22. Jung Seung-Yong 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 18. Kim Min-jae 32. Yun Min-Ho
Substitutes
7. Baek Sung-Dong 99. Lee Chang-Hun 17. Lee Dong-won 66. Lee Gang-Han 32. Lee Seung-Hwan (G) 27. Min Ji-Hoon 19. Song Chang-Seok 22. Yang Young-been 37. Yoon-Hwan L.	13. Hong S. 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 90. Jeon M. 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 35. Kim Ji-hyuk 36. Lee Jae-Wook 17. Park Byeong-gyu 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 16. Ryu Jun-sun
Coaches
Quinta Rui	Kim Hae-Woon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Jeong Jin-Woo ⚽, Bandeira (A),
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yun Min-Ho ↓, Jeon M. ↑,
46', Kim Min-jae ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
46', Lee J. ↓, Baek Sung-Dong ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Lee Jeong-Bin (Penalty Awarded),
69', 2 - 1, Baek Sung-Dong ⚽,
71', Jung Seung-Yong ↓, Hwang Seok-Ki ↑,
71', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
80', Chico Geraldes ↓, Lee Dong-won ↑,
80', Elionay 🟨,
81', Park Byeong-gyu 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Garcia M. ⚽, Bandeira (A),
89', Garcia M. ↓, Song Chang-Seok ↑,
89', Bak Keon-Woo ↓, Lee Gang-Han ↑,
90+2', Jeong Jin-Woo ↓, Min Ji-Hoon ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheongju won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cheongju has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:13 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cheongju against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.4:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cheongju	27	6	14	7	34:42	-8	32
11	Seongnam	26	7	10	9	29:33	-4	31

Last Results with these Odds

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheongju FC
South Korean K-League 2
20.09.26	Ansan Greeners - Cheongju	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Chungnam Asan - Cheongju	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Cheongju - Seoul E-Land	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hwaseong - Cheongju	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Cheongju - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
20.09.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Hwaseong	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Gimpo - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Seoul E-Land	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ansan Greeners - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
08.03.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheongju	2:2
14.09.25	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
14.06.25	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
03.03.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheongju	1:1
29.09.24	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
12.08.24	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
South Korean Cup
19.06.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheongju	2:1 penalties

Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide