Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Trostianets		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	3.85	3.25	1.88
	4.11	3.39	1.74
	3.4	3.42	2	Watch
	4.05	3.35	1.72
	4.3	3.55	1.78	Watch
	3.85	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.78)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trostianets
23.8%

Draw
27.3%

Chernihiv
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trostianets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Trostianets - Chernihiv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernihiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Chernihiv will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Matush A. 90. Bogdanov A. 11. Buryak R. 7. Cheglov M. 18. Hordiichuk V. 20. Koltsov V. 53. Kostuchenko D. 2. Myzyuk Y. 9. Slipukhin A. 17. Taranushych V. (C) 43. Vasylchenko V.	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 26. Azizov D. 21. Bezborodko D. 7. Myronenko D. 33. Porokhnya A. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 55. Romanchenko A. 77. Serdyuk M. 6. Shalfeev Y. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.
Substitutes
36. Bobita A. 77. Chervoncev O. 66. Chukwuemeka N. 10. Lastovka V. 5. Michenko A. 15. Novopashyn A. 21. Popovich K. 31. Shapoval S. 8. Smygarev O. 23. Taranenko O. 29. Vasetskyi B. (G) 14. Velychko N.	15. Bezgubchenko D. 24. Didok D. 20. Fateev D. 13. Galoyan S. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 12. Kartushov Y. 10. Koydan V. 11. Novikov A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 23. Zenchenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Buryak R. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Buryak R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', 2 - 1, Shumylo M. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Novikov A. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Novikov A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, Novikov A. ⚽,

Preview

Chernihiv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chernihiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chernihiv is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trostianets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Ukrainian Cup for now

FC Chernihiv: 0.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Trostianets
Ukrainian Druha Liga
27.09.26	Trostianets - Rebel Kyiv	2:2 ✺
21.09.26	Penuel - Trostianets	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Poltava 2 - Trostianets	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Atlet Kyiv - Trostianets	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Hirnyk-Sport - Trostianets	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTTT
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.10.26	Poltava - Chernihiv	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Oleksandriya - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
13.09.24	Chernihiv - Trostianets	0:0

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