Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Chernihiv Stadium (Černihiv)


	Chernihiv		Inhulets

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.05	3.30	3.20
	2.03	3.38	3.10
	2.56	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.58)	3.29 ↑ (3.21)	3.03 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernihiv
42.3%

Draw
27.7%

Inhulets
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.2%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernihiv's performance.

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inhulets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernihiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inhulets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chernihiv - Inhulets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tatarenko M. (C) 15. Bezgubchenko D. 13. Galoyan S. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 10. Koydan V. 11. Novikov A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 55. Romanchenko A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 23. Zenchenko O.	24. Slutskyi O. (G) 5. Dankovskyi Y. 4. Dubiley V. 17. Khussin T. 2. Malysh S. (C) 21. Manastyrnyi O. 25. Rozhko V. 10. Ursolov S. 22. Yanyuk D. 78. Yevtushenko O. 52. Zhadan O.
Substitutes
26. Azizov D. 21. Bezborodko D. 8. Bybik A. 24. Didok D. 20. Fateev D. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 7. Myronenko D. 33. Porokhnya A. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 77. Serdyuk M. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.	35. Banyk D. 7. Bezkleynyi D. 3. Dzyubin M. 26. Karlyuk D. (G) 9. Knyazev Y. 6. Komar O. 11. Profatylo Y. 91. Ryazantsev Y. 30. Tuzenko D.

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 6th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Chernihiv has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 0.8:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chernihiv against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Inhulets	9	4	2	3	10:11	-1	14
14	FC Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.09.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Oleksandriya - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Chernihiv - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLTT
- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.26	Inhulets - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Poltava - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	UCSA - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.26	Inhulets - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.05.26	Chernihiv - Inhulets	1:2
02.11.25	Inhulets - Chernihiv	1:1
08.10.23	Inhulets - Chernihiv	6:1
07.08.23	Chernihiv - Inhulets	0:2

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