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Current Win Probability
Cherno More Varna 53.4%
Draw 24.1%
Dunav Ruse 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
24.5%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
20.1%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Dunav Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cherno More Varna that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 2.
Cherno More has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Dunav Ruse is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cherno More could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Cherno More for this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cherno More has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:9 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cherno More against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).
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