Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 31

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday


	Chernomorets Balchik		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.63
	4.08	3.41	1.66
	4.89	3.63	1.66	Watch
	4.9	3.65	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5.19)	3.57 ↓ (3.67)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Balchik
19.4%

Draw
25.3%

Spartak Varna
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

25.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

26%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Balchik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Balchik than the current prediction. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Spartak Varna aligns with the current prediction.

Chernomorets Balchik - Spartak Varna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grigorov G. (G) 7. Buzon C. 10. Cardoso L. 20. Dimitrov G. 3. Fonkeu W. 6. Georgiev V. 5. Minchev I. 11. Mitev S. 8. Neves A. 2. Radev Y. 18. Yankov N. (C)	89. Videnov N. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 44. Granchov A. 14. Ivey R. 11. Mitev V. (C) 45. Nachev D. 10. Rumenov R. 31. Semeniv D. 6. Tsvetkov A. 81. Zehirov A.
Substitutes
30. Boyadzhiev S. (G) 12. Iliev R. 4. Ivanov P. 23. Nakov A. 19. Tomov I. 17. Totev T.	7. Babaliev G. 2. Boev V. 23. Georgiev G. (G) 18. Hyusein H. 13. Ivanov G. 9. Mehmed M. 3. Petrov P. 8. Petrov T. 4. Terziev R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
72', 4 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Recent matches Chernomorets Balchik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spartak Varna in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Spartak Varna is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chernomorets Balchik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Chernomorets Balchik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Balchik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.04.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Chernomorets Balchik	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Chernomorets Balchik - Bdin Vidin	6:0 ✺
13.04.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Chernomorets Balchik	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Chernomorets Balchik - Yantra Gabrovo	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Sportist Svoge - Chernomorets Balchik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLWW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.04.24	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Spartak Varna - Dunav Ruse	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.10.23	Spartak Varna - Chernomorets Balchik	4:0
23.11.19	Chernomorets Balchik - Spartak Varna	1:0

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