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Current Win Probability
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 42.2%
Draw 29.9%
Ural 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
32.3%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
34.3%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
73. Shtepa M. (G) 18. Nikolaev O. 21. Chistyakov N. 3. Pliev Z. (C) 91. Suslov K. 99. Morozov K. 77. Zarypbekov E. 88. Magomedov Z. 10. Zhigulev I. 98. Khubulov A. 7. Antonov A.
86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 4. Bardachev M. 24. Filipenko E. (C) 34. Margasov T. 11. Karapuzov V. 14. Zheleznov Y. 21. Ivanisenia D. 22. Leo Cordeiro 19. Bogomolskiy E. 37. Bondarev V. 20. Markov E.
Substitutes
9. Antsiperov D. 33. Khalilov M. 11. Konovalov I. 5. Krachkovskii A. 44. Kukharchuk I. 31. Natabashvili G. (G) 19. Pomeshkin K. 90. Sutugin I. 59. Syshchenko M. 8. Tarba Z. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 17. Zhilkin G.
90. Arabachyan T. 5. Ayupov T. 74. Kiselev D. 67. Maleev Y. (G) 18. Morozov N. 76. Nem V.
Coaches
Sarkisov E.
Berezutskiy V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Nikolaev O. ⚽,
19', Leo Cordeiro 🟨,
41', Magomedov Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
46', Leo Cordeiro ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
56', Zhigulev I. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
56', Magomedov Z. ↓, Tarba Z. ↑,
58', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
59', Bogomolskiy E. ↓, Arabachyan T. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Margasov T. ⚽,
77', Antonov A. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
78', Chistyakov N. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
83', Bondarev V. ↓, Nem V. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Khubulov A. ⚽,
85', Morozov K. ↓, Syshchenko M. ↑,
90', Khubulov A. ↓, Antsiperov D. ↑,
90+1', Bardachev M. 🟨,
90+2', Antonov A. 🟨,
90+2', Shtepa M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
Ural is Qualified for Premier League (Promotion )
Chernomorets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ural is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Watch
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Shtepa M. (G) 
Zarypbekov E. 
Filipenko E. (C) 
Ivanisenia D. 
Leo Cordeiro 
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