Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 5

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Sidenkov I. (Rus)


	Sochi		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.68	5.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.97)	3.68 ↑ (3.2)	5.07 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
55.9%

Draw
25.5%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sochi's performance.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Karabashev N. (G) 59. Bart R. 23. Guarirapa S. 89. Lazarev V. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 88. Makarov A. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 29. Nikitin K. 21. Saavedra I. 27. Zaika K.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 44. Chichinadze A. 35. Enin I. 27. Gurchenko D. 21. Ivanov E. 77. Khabalov A. 57. Krotov V. 64. Lanin O. 75. Okladnikov A. 5. Stezhko V. 9. Uridia M. (C)
Substitutes
18. Burmistrov N. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 6. Levin V. 17. Makarchuk A. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 15. Suslov K. 19. Ushatov K. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)	7. Antonov A. 62. Budachev I. (G) 30. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Kumburovic N. 81. Melnikov N. 3. Musalov M. 23. Nikiforov N. 22. Rebrov D. (G) 69. Rodionov I. 8. Stolbov K. 71. Yakovlev D.
Coaches
Moreno R.	Garanin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', Uridia M. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Guarirapa S. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Bart R. ⚽,
21', Stezhko V. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Okladnikov A. ⚽,
39', Khabalov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gurchenko D. ↓, Musalov M. ↑,
46', Okladnikov A. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
54', Litvinov V. 🟨,
57', Nikitin K. ↓, Kramaric M. ↑,
57', Bart R. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
65', Kramaric M. 🟨,
72', Magal R. ↓, Kozhemyakin O. ↑,
72', Lazarev V. ↓, Safronov I. ↑,
75', Guarirapa S. 🟨,
76', Krotov V. ↓, Antonov A. ↑,
82', Makarov A. ↓, Levin V. ↑,
82', Chichinadze A. ↓, Kumburovic N. ↑,
87', Marcelo Alves 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Sochi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sochi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sochi is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
04.08.24	Shinnik - Sochi	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Ural - Sochi	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.24	Sochi - Talleres de Córdoba	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTLW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
02.08.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural	3:2 ✺
21.07.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Khimki - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
22.08.18	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi	2:1
Russian PFL South
30.04.17	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi	2:1
09.10.16	Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0
22.03.15	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi	1:1
01.10.14	Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:3

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