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Current Win Probability
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 46.3%
Draw 30.4%
Ufa 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
29%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
28.4%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-3%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Ufa (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Matyusha M. (G) 13. Puzanov S. 3. Pliev Z. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 18. Nikolaev O. 7. Antonov A. 10. Zhigulev I. 8. Tarba Z. 99. Morozov K. 44. Kukharchuk I. 25. Lozhkin V.
31. Belenov A. (G) 45. Tenyaev A. 50. Khomukha I. 55. Shlyakov E. 15. Khabalov A. 88. Ageyan M. 22. Yusupov Z. 8. Isaev S. 24. Mrzljak F. 11. Minatulaev O. 77. Chimezie W.
Substitutes
9. Aliev S. 15. Alikberov T. 40. Baksheev N. 11. Gurchenko D. 74. Kazimov A. 5. Krachkovskii A. 19. Pomeshkin K. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 90. Sutugin I. 59. Syshchenko M. 17. Zhilkin G.
23. Akhatov D. 96. Baranovsky A. 40. Chernov A. (G) 10. Gystarov R. 9. Karpuk I. 69. Khanenko I. 48. Lukyanov A. 21. Matskharashvili N. 19. Mayorov E. 70. Ortiz D. 17. Ozmanov D. 79. Troyanov K.
Coaches
Evseev V.
Tetradze O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Isaev S. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Minatulaev O. ⚽,
35', Khabalov A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Kukharchuk I. ⚽,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kukharchuk I. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
46', Lozhkin V. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
46', Matyusha M. ↓, Shtepa M. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Aliev S. ⚽,
53', Chimezie W. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
53', Mrzljak F. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
57', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
65', Zhigulev I. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
67', Minatulaev O. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
68', Shlyakov E. ↓, Karpuk I. ↑,
71', Shtepa M. 🟨,
74', Ortiz D. 🟨,
78', Pomeshkin K. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Karpuk I. ⚽,
90+1', Puzanov S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Pliev Z. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Recent form of Chernomorets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ufa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Chernomorets is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Watch
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Matyusha M. (G) 
Lozhkin V. 
Mrzljak F. 
Chimezie W. 
Ortiz D. 
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