The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chertanovo 24.8%
Draw 27.2%
Tekstilshchik Ivanovo 48%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.3%
27.4%
47.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
24.6%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Tekstilshchik Ivanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Osipov A. (G) 13. Bartasevich V. 7. Gaynullin R. 42. Grachev M. 52. Kavtrev E. 21. Kondrashov D. 18. Korunov D. 9. Melnikov M. 27. Mikadze G. 2. Polyakov I. 17. Semenov S.
58. Fadeev S. (G) 7. Dzhebov A. 74. Guziev E. 83. Ishchenko N. 21. Ivanisenia D. 23. Ivannikov D. 27. Krutovskikh A. 17. Mikhailusov A. 66. Petin Y. 91. Pomalyuk A. 30. Simonov D.
Substitutes
15. Agafontsev V. 88. Andreev N. 33. Atayan V. 16. Maniac D. (G) 66. Nekrasov I. 45. Nikiema Y. 68. Olejnik S. 10. Rebrov S. 14. Sumilov S. 6. Zubakin G.
77. Biblik S. 87. Filev A. 2. Gapechkin A. 55. Gapeev V. 18. Ivanov I. 11. Kriushichev M. 3. Marugin D. 29. Nikitin K. 19. Noskov M. 95. Volkov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Kavtrev E. ⚽, Semenov S. (A),
21', Ivannikov D. 🟨,
29', Simonov D. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Pomalyuk A. ⚽, Ishchenko N. (A),
39', Kavtrev E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Gaynullin R. 🟨,
57', Ishchenko N. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
57', Ivannikov D. ↓, Gapechkin A. ↑,
57', Ivanisenia D. ↓, Kriushichev M. ↑,
64', Simonov D. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
73', Guziev E. 🟨,
74', Grachev M. ↓, Oleynik S. ↑,
74', Gaynullin R. ↓, Agafontsev V. ↑,
83', Mikhailusov A. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Melnikov M. ⚽, Oleynik S. (A),
87', Melnikov M. ↓, Nikiema Y. ↑,
90+3', Kavtrev E. ↓, Shumilov S. ↑,
90+3', Nikiema Y. 🟨,
90+5', Osipov A. 🟨,
90+5', Dzhebov A. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 2.
Chertanovo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tekstilshchik has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chertanovo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tekstilshchik holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Chertanovo has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 0.6:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chertanovo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
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Osipov A. (G) 
Ivanisenia D. 
Nekrasov I. 
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