Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Chertsey Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.5	2.15
	2.96	3.39	2.21
	2.92	3.65	2.21	Watch
	2.93	3.34	2.17
	2.8	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.83)	3.5 ↓ (3.59)	2.19 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
31.9%

Draw
26.2%

Gloucester City
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.4%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Chertsey Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Hanks J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Lee C. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Hanks J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Chertsey has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gloucester is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gloucester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chertsey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Chertsey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12:17	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Gosport Borough - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Evesham United - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	4:3 ✺
03.01.26	Uxbridge - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Chertsey Town - Walton & Hersham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWWL
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Gloucester City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Gosport Borough - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sholing - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.11.25	Gloucester City - Chertsey Town	2:0
12.04.25	Chertsey Town - Gloucester City	1:0
14.12.24	Gloucester City - Chertsey Town	3:1

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