Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Chesham United		Bracknell Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.1
	1.63	4	4.33
	1.62	4.2	4.46
	1.63	4.23	4.5
	1.63	4.01	4.56
	1.63	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.27)	4.06 ↑ (3.75)	4.38 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
56.5%

Draw
22.6%

Bracknell Town
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesham United's performance.

Bracknell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bracknell Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bracknell Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Evans G. N. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Edwards J. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 6).

Chesham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League South

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 1.

Chesham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bracknell is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chesham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chesham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
13.04.24	Tiverton Town - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Chesham United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
29.03.24	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWT
- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
13.04.24	Bracknell Town - Winchester City	3:1 ✺
10.04.24	Totton - Bracknell Town	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Bracknell Town - Sholing	5:1 ✺
29.03.24	Hungerford Town - Bracknell Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	4:0
26.04.23	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	1:0
07.01.23	Chesham United - Bracknell Town	2:1
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	3:0
16.09.22	Chesham United - Bracknell Town	2:2
English Southern League South Division
27.08.22	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	0:3

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