Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Larges Lane (Bracknell)


	Bracknell Town		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	3.6
	1.71	4.1	3.65
	1.76	4.31	3.79
	1.69	3.94	3.94
	1.71	4.1	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.81)	4.07 ↑ (3.67)	3.73 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bracknell Town
53.2%

Draw
22.4%

Winchester City
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

24.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

21.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bracknell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bracknell Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Bracknell Town - Winchester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Winchester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Esprit J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Knight G. 🟥,
71', 1 - 1, Britton G. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Barron J. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Wright T. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Bracknell is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Winchester is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bracknell is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bracknell won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bracknell won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
05.04.25	Tiverton Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chertsey Town - Bracknell Town	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Bracknell Town - Gosport Borough	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Totton - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Bracknell Town - Marlow	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
05.04.25	Winchester City - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Poole Town - Winchester City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.12.24	Winchester City - Bracknell Town	0:0
13.04.24	Bracknell Town - Winchester City	3:1
05.12.23	Winchester City - Bracknell Town	5:0
28.01.23	Bracknell Town - Winchester City	3:1
01.11.22	Winchester City - Bracknell Town	2:3

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