Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Chesham United		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	4	2.4
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.6	3.75	2.35	Watch
	2.62	3.62	2.17
	2.62	3.6	2.2
	2.72	3.56	2.32	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.4)	3.66 ↓ (4)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
35.3%

Draw
24.9%

Braintree Town
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

23.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

23%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Chesham United - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Braintree could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Braintree have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chesham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Braintree Town - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.10.23	Chesham United - Didcot Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Chesham United - Enfield Town	4:3 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Chesham United - Margate	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
26.09.23	Walton & Hersham - Chesham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWWT
- Braintree Town
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Braintree Town - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
English National League South
07.10.23	Braintree Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
English National League South
23.09.23	Aveley - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Braintree Town - Canvey Island	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.10.23	Braintree Town - Chesham United	0:0

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