Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday


	Braintree Town		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.08	3.18	3.72
	2.08	3.18	3.72
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2.03	3.27	3.55
	2.03	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 (2.03)	3.23 ↓ (3.42)	3.51 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
45.3%

Draw
28.5%

Bath City
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Braintree Town - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (1 - 0)
115', 1 - 0, Blackwell T. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Braintree will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Braintree won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
20.04.24	Braintree Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
09.04.24	Braintree Town - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Weston-super-Mare - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWW
- Bath City
English National League South
20.04.24	Aveley - Bath City	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Bath City - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
09.04.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Bath City	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Taunton Town - Bath City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
27.02.24	Bath City - Braintree Town	1:2
07.10.23	Braintree Town - Bath City	1:1
21.01.23	Braintree Town - Bath City	2:1
20.08.22	Bath City - Braintree Town	3:1
29.01.22	Bath City - Braintree Town	0:0
11.09.21	Braintree Town - Bath City	1:3
29.02.20	Braintree Town - Bath City	2:0

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