Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Salisbury		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.33	4.8
	1.47	4.5	5
	1.47	5.01	5.07
	1.47	5.01	5.07
	1.46	4.4	5.3
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)	4.63 ↑ (4.6)	5.04 ↓ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
62.2%

Draw
19.7%

Dorchester Town
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.7%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

18.8%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salisbury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorchester Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Salisbury - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 2.

Salisbury in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dorchester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dorchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dorchester have a series of home games.

In this match Salisbury is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Salisbury to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Salisbury won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
18.11.23	Hanwell Town - Salisbury	2:3 ✺
11.11.23	Salisbury - Hayes & Yeading United	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Harrow Borough - Salisbury	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	Salisbury - Plymouth Parkway	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Didcot Town - Salisbury	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
14.11.23	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Dorchester Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Dorchester Town - Sholing	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Hendon - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.04.23	Salisbury - Dorchester Town	2:2
29.10.22	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:0
16.04.22	Salisbury - Dorchester Town	0:1
28.08.21	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	0:1
24.10.20	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:6
25.01.20	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	0:5
English FA Trophy
29.10.19	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	0:3

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