Match Info

National League South - Round 32

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Worthing		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	4.8
	1.5	4.35	5.3
	1.52	4.55	5.39
	1.51	4.62	5.27	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.54	4.37	5.21
	1.42	4.2	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	4.34 ↓ (4.44)	5.17 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
61.1%

Draw
21.2%

Chesham United
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

20.9%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

20.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Worthing have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Worthing - Chesham United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Colbran J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, Godziemski O. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Worthing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chesham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Worthing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Worthing is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chesham: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16:19	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
28.02.26	Hornchurch - Worthing	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Worthing - Torquay United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Worthing - Slough Town	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dover Athletic - Worthing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLT
- Chesham United
English National League South
28.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Chesham United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Chesham United - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Salisbury - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.10.25	Chesham United - Worthing	1:2
08.03.25	Worthing - Chesham United	3:0
09.11.24	Chesham United - Worthing	2:0
English FA Trophy
10.11.18	Worthing - Chesham United	1:0

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