Match Info

National League South - Round 37

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.2
	2.21	3.29	3.25
	2.18	3.33	3.22	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.13	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.41)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)	3.21 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
42.4%

Draw
28.8%

Weston-super-Mare
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Chesham United - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Lafleur A. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Bennetts J. ⚽,
22', 3 - 0, Bennetts J. ⚽,
37', 4 - 0, Weiss M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chesham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Weston-super-Mare has had a series of away games.

Chesham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesham won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6% Chesham: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17
19	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16:19	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
03.03.26	Worthing - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Chesham United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Chesham United - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTLWW
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
03.03.26	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Slough Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.09.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chesham United	1:0
22.03.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chesham United	1:1
20.08.24	Chesham United - Weston-super-Mare	1:2
English Southern League South Division
28.03.23	Chesham United - Weston-super-Mare	1:1
18.10.22	Weston-super-Mare - Chesham United	1:3
15.03.22	Chesham United - Weston-super-Mare	1:1
23.10.21	Weston-super-Mare - Chesham United	3:1

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