The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheshunt 32.9%
Draw 26.7%
Lewes 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
26.1%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
25.8%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheshunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheshunt's form might have worsened.
Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lewes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheshunt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lewes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cheshunt - Lewes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, da Silva R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, Wood T. ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Granville S. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Mackenzie R. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheshunt won 1.
Cheshunt is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Lewes shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Cheshunt has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Cheshunt has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:15 (averaging 1.9:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cheshunt against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
Lewes: 4.83% Cheshunt: 1.64%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Lewes
10
6
1
3
15:11
4
19
14
Cheshunt
10
2
5
3
9:13
-4
11
Last Results with these Odds
Cheshunt - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.61%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Lewes - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.32%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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