Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Cheshunt		Chichester City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.65	2.78
	2.27	3.86	2.59
	2.1	3.98	2.78	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.63
	2.12	3.72	2.77
	2.28	3.8	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.66)	3.74 ↑ (3.71)	2.69 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheshunt
41.9%

Draw
24.3%

Chichester City
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

24.8%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

23.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheshunt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheshunt's performance.

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chichester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheshunt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chichester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cheshunt - Chichester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Granville S. (Penalty Awarded),
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 10).

Cheshunt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chichester is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Cheshunt has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cheshunt won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Cheshunt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Cheshunt: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cheshunt	10	2	5	3	9:13	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cheshunt - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.62%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Chichester City - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Cheshunt	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	3:3 ✺
27.12.25	Potters Bar Town - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Cheshunt - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	Chichester City - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLLT
- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Chichester City - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Ramsgate - Chichester City	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Chichester City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Chichester City - Hashtag United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.25	Chichester City - Cheshunt	2:2
18.04.25	Chichester City - Cheshunt	4:0
07.09.24	Cheshunt - Chichester City	2:3

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