Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Chichester City		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.5	2.72
	2.19	3.9	2.68	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.25
	2.28	3.82	2.71
	2.22	3.66	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)	3.68 ↓ (3.75)	2.81 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chichester City
42.5%

Draw
24.9%

Wingate & Finchley
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

24.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chichester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wingate & Finchley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chichester City - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chichester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Botti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Wild J. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Obodo M. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 16).

Chichester is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wingate & Finchley is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wingate & Finchley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chichester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chichester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chichester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24:23	1	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.01.26	Ramsgate - Chichester City	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Chichester City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Chichester City - Hashtag United	1:0 ✺
16.12.25	Chichester City - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWT
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.01.26	Welling United - Wingate & Finchley	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	St Albans City - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Wingate & Finchley	4:1 ✺
06.12.25	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Wingate & Finchley - Chichester City	Abandoned
01.02.25	Chichester City - Wingate & Finchley	2:1
21.09.24	Wingate & Finchley - Chichester City	0:1

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