Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.35	4.75	6.5
	1.38	4.75	7
	1.37	4.77	6.72
	1.39	4.79	7.23	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7.2	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.37)	4.77 ↑ (4.75)	6.81 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
67.2%

Draw
19.3%

Stockton Town
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

18.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chester - Stockton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Rawlinson C. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Burke H. ⚽,

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Chester is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Stockton Town is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stockton Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chester is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chester to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Stockton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Rushall Olympic - Chester	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Chester - Hebburn Town	3:0 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Chester - South Shields	1:0 ✺
03.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWT
- Stockton Town
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Stockton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
21.09.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
18.09.24	Stockton Town - Blyth Spartans	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Stockton Town - Marine	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Lancaster City - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
28.09.24	Stockton Town - Chester	1:1

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