Match Info
National League North - Round 11Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Southport |
|
Chester |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
|
 |
2.88 |
3.2 |
2.32 |
|
 |
2.92 |
3.15 |
2.42 |
|
 |
2.72 |
3.32 |
2.45 |
 Watch |
 |
2.94 |
3.08 |
2.3 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↓
(3.1) |
3.17 ↓
(3.27) |
2.36 ↑
(2.1) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Southport
32.2% | Draw
28.9% | Chester
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+4.4%)Southport - Chester Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Chester will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Chester (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Zanzala O. ⚽,
- 45+2', Woodthorpe N. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Hilton S. ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, Woods C. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Thibaut A. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 16).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 1.Southport is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Chester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Chester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Southport won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Southport - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.24%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Chester - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.05%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 18.04.25 | Southport - Chester | 0:1 | | 01.01.25 | Chester - Southport | 0:0 | | 12.03.24 | Chester - Southport | 0:1 | | 24.10.23 | Southport - Chester | 0:2 | | 10.04.23 | Southport - Chester | 1:2 | | 13.09.22 | Chester - Southport | 1:0 | | 05.02.22 | Chester - Southport | 5:0 |
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