The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chester 60%
Draw 22.6%
Marine 17.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.5%
25.2%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
27.1%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chester's performance.
Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Chester - Marine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Simms C. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Foley S. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Abreu J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 7th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.
Chester has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Marine is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Chester could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Chester carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Chester has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:10 (averaging 2.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chester against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Chester
13
7
2
4
17:13
4
23
15
Marine
13
5
1
7
15:15
0
16
Last Results with these Odds
Chester - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 54.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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