Match Info

National League North - Round 16

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Marine

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.98	3.2	3.65
	2.04	3.31	3.85
	1.83	3.79	3.76	Watch
	2.04	3.35	3.56
	1.61	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)	3.42 ↓ (3.79)	3.87 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
48.7%

Draw
27.2%

Marine
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Chester - Marine Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Marine (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marine (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+5', 0 - 1, Newell G. ⚽,
45+9', Peers T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, Jones J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chester is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Cambridge United - Chester	3:0 ✺
English National League North
25.10.25	Chester - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Alfreton Town - Chester	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Chester - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWTW
- Marine FC
English National League North
01.11.25	Marine - Fylde	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Scarborough Athletic - Marine	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Worksop Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Marine - Curzon Ashton	0:4 ✺
04.10.25	Macclesfield Town - Marine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.04.25	Chester - Marine	2:1
26.12.24	Marine - Chester	2:3
English FA Cup
24.10.20	Chester - Marine	0:1
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Marine - Chester	0:4
23.07.16	Marine - Chester	3:5

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