Match Info

National League North - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	South Shields		Chester

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.45	3.4	2.58
	2.73	3.38	2.48
	2.35	3.46	2.78	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.8
	2.62	3.24	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.26)	3.36 ↓ (3.78)	2.56 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
36.8%

Draw
27.3%

Chester
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

23.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

22.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

South Shields - Chester Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. South Shields (votes: 1 - 50%). Chester (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Dodds D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Blackett P. ⚽,
51', 3 - 0, Blackett P. ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, Sykes C. ⚽,

Preview

South Shields is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, South Shields won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, South Shields won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

South Shields - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
English National League North
19.08.25	Alfreton Town - South Shields	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Leamington - South Shields	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	South Shields - Marine	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Hartlepool United - South Shields	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	South Shields - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWL
- Chester City
English National League North
19.08.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chorley - Chester	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chester - Peterborough Sports	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Chester - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Glentoran - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
08.02.25	South Shields - Chester	2:0
07.09.24	Chester - South Shields	1:0
23.03.24	Chester - South Shields	0:1
25.11.23	South Shields - Chester	0:1

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