The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Shields 40.9%
Draw 26.2%
Chester 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.2%
26.8%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
25.7%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
South Shields - Chester Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Waters B. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Scott C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 2 - 1, Onanaye T. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Kelly C. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Shields won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Chester could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, South Shields has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, South Shields has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:3 (averaging 1.7:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for South Shields against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:1 goals (averaging 2:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
South Shields
13
8
2
3
22:18
4
26
5
Chester
13
7
2
4
17:13
4
23
Last Results with these Odds
South Shields - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Chester - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.05%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.