Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 17

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Chester		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.55	3.25	2.65
	2.6	3.3	2.83
	2.6	3.06	2.83
	2.45	3.25	2.5
	2.54	3.2	2.67
	2.55	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	2.64 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
36.2%

Draw
29%

Tamworth
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Chester - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Chester in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tamworth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tamworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Chester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
05.12.23	Chester - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
28.11.23	Rushall Olympic - Chester	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	South Shields - Chester	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Alfreton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Nantwich Town - Chester	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWTL
- Tamworth
English National League North
25.11.23	Tamworth - King`s Lynn Town	3:1 ✺
21.11.23	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Billericay Town - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Bishops Stortford - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Tamworth - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.03.14	Chester - Tamworth	2:0
25.02.14	Tamworth - Chester	3:4

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