Match Info

FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)

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	Chesterfield		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.6	2.2
	2.88	3.55	2.22
	2.96	3.65	2.27
	2.9	3.58	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.25
	2.88	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.57)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.24 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
32.3%

Draw
26%

Doncaster Rovers
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

25.7%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

25.6%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.	29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 12. O'Riordan C. 6. McGrath J. 3. Maxwell J. 8. Broadbent G. 7. Molyneux L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 15. Clifton H. 11. Gibson J. 9. Hanlan B.
Substitutes
28. Berry-McNally J. 23. Boot R. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 27. Darcy R. 25. Dickson W. 13. Fleck J. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. 3. Lewis A.	19. Ajayi D. 33. Close B. 18. Crew C. 22. Gotts R. 27. Grehan S. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 17. Middleton G. 23. Senior J. 14. Sharp B.
Coaches
Cook P.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Clifton H. 🟨,
31', Maxwell J. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Bonis L. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Bailey O. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Clifton H. ↓, Crew C. ↑,
55', Stirk R. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
57', Bonis L. 🟨,
61', Fleck J. 🟥,
64', Hanlan B. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
67', Duffy D. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
73', Broadbent G. ↓, Close B. ↑,
73', Markanday D. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
74', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
82', Gibson J. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
82', Maxwell J. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Senior J. ⚽, McGrath J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.

Recent form of Chesterfield has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Doncaster Rovers - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	5:1 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Crewe Alexandra - Chesterfield	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Chesterfield - Liverpool U21	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTWL
- Doncaster Rovers
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	5:1 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Doncaster Rovers - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Lincoln City - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Doncaster Rovers - Bradford City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	5:1
English League Two
06.02.25	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	5:2
28.09.24	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	0:3
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	4:0
English League One
19.04.16	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	1:1
24.11.15	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	3:0
31.01.15	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	2:2

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