Match Info

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster)

Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Doncaster Rovers		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	4.33	Watch
	1.55	4.15	4.7	Watch
	1.59	4.24	4.97
	1.69	4.16	4.3	Watch
	1.53	4	4.5
	1.6	4.58	4.41	Watch
	1.55	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.84)	4.26 ↑ (3.77)	4.57 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
58.2%

Draw
21.6%

Chesterfield
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

24.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

23.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Doncaster Rovers's performance.

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesterfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Doncaster Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Doncaster (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 16. Nixon T. 5. Pearson M. 27. Grehan S. 23. Senior J. 22. Gotts R. 33. Close B. 19. Ajayi D. 18. Crew C. 17. Middleton G. 14. Sharp B. (C)	23. Boot R. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 5. Grimes J. 3. Lewis A. 16. Butterfield L. 7. Mandeville L. 41. Elliott G. 27. Darcy R. 28. Berry-McNally J. 25. Dickson W.
Substitutes
4. Bailey O. 41. Bryant J. (G) 15. Clifton H. 11. Gibson J. 9. Hanlan B. 7. Molyneux L. 37. Straughan-Brown S.	10. Bonis L. 40. Cook C. 11. Duffy D. 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 30. Tanton D. 42. Whitney A.
Coaches
McCann G.	Cook P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Sharp B. ⚽, Gotts R. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Ajayi D. ⚽, Sharp B. (A),
31', 3 - 0, Senior J. ⚽, Ajayi D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Elliott G. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
46', Butterfield L. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
54', Grimes J. 🟨,
72', Gotts R. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
73', Middleton G. ↓, Molyneux L. ↑,
73', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Bonis L. ⚽, Daley-Campbell V. (A),
76', Mandeville L. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Sharp B. ⚽, Nixon T. (A),
82', Lo-Tutala T. ↓, Bryant J. ↑,
82', Close B. ↓, Straughan-Brown S. ↑,
87', Darcy R. ↓, Cook C. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 1, Molyneux L. ⚽, Sharp B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Doncaster is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
29.11.25	Doncaster Rovers - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Lincoln City - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Doncaster Rovers - Bradford City	3:1 ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Doncaster Rovers - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLWL
- Chesterfield
English League Two
29.11.25	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Crewe Alexandra - Chesterfield	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Chesterfield - Liverpool U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Chesterfield - Accrington Stanley	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
06.02.25	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	5:2
28.09.24	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	0:3
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	4:0
English League One
19.04.16	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	1:1
24.11.15	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	3:0
31.01.15	Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers	2:2
20.09.14	Doncaster Rovers - Chesterfield	3:2

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