Match Info

League Two - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)


	Chesterfield		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.58	Watch
	2.57	3.6	2.65
	2.25	3.45	2.91	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.54	3.6	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.25)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	2.64 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
37.9%

Draw
26.6%

Swindon Town
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Chesterfield - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Swindon (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Swindon (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 13. Fleck J. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.	1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. 22. Knight-Lebel J. 8. Clarke O. (C) 19. Snowdon J. 18. Kilkenny G. 7. Nichols T. 26. Munroe F. 23. Drinan A. 28. Palmer O. 44. Oldaker D.
Substitutes
28. Berry-McNally J. 23. Boot R. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 27. Darcy R. 25. Dickson W. 5. Grimes J. 3. Lewis A.	6. Ball J. 31. Bodin B. 20. Ehibhatiomhan P. 9. Glatzel P. 33. McGregor J. 11. Tabor J. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Cook P.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Munroe F. ⚽, Palmer O. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Fleck J. ⚽, Dunkley C. (A),
39', Tanton D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Palmer O. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Snowdon J. ⚽,
63', Drinan A. 🟨,
68', Naylor T. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
68', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
68', Gordon L. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
69', Tanton D. ↓, Daley-Campbell V. ↑,
69', Munroe F. 🟨,
71', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
75', Glatzel P. 🟨,
79', Markanday D. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
80', Oldaker D. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
80', Nichols T. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
84', Ripley C. 🟨,
90+1', Munroe F. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.

Recent performances by Chesterfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Swindon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury) Dobra A. (Inactive) Elliott G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chesterfield: Grigg W. (Inactive) Stirk R. (Inactive) Williams T. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Swindon: Snowdon J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Chesterfield - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.23%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Swindon Town - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.88%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
22.11.25	Crewe Alexandra - Chesterfield	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Chesterfield - Liverpool U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Chesterfield - Accrington Stanley	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWLTW
- Swindon Town
English League Two
22.11.25	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	0:4 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Rotherham United - Swindon Town	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
22.02.25	Swindon Town - Chesterfield	1:0
09.08.24	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	1:1
24.02.18	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	2:1
11.11.17	Swindon Town - Chesterfield	2:2
English League One
04.03.17	Swindon Town - Chesterfield	0:1
13.08.16	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	3:1
23.04.16	Swindon Town - Chesterfield	1:0

Upcoming Matches