The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grimsby Town 44.3%
Draw 27%
Chesterfield 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
26.4%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
27.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
15.4%
15.4%
Grimsby Town - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grimsby Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 21. Warren T. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 20. McEachran G. 4. Green K. 7. Walker J. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J. 32. Rose D. (C)
1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 13. Fleck J. 24. Markanday D. 27. Darcy R. 28. Berry-McNally J. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
14. Amaluzor J. 18. Burns D. 33. Casper C. (G) 12. Eccleston N. 19. Gilsenan Z. 8. Khouri E. 29. Oduor C.
23. Boot R. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 25. Dickson W. 44. Donacien J. 11. Duffy D. 15. Hobson B. 7. Mandeville L.
Coaches
Artell D.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Warren T. 🟨,
32', Dunkley C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Pym C. 🟥,
55', Vernam C. ↓, Casper C. ↑,
56', Kabia J. 🟨,
66', Kabia J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Rodgers H. (Own goal),
73', Dunkley C. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
77', Rose D. ↓, Gilsenan Z. ↑,
77', McEachran G. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
77', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
79', Darcy R. 🟨,
86', Darcy R. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
86', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
90+5', Bonis L. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Grimsby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sweeney J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Knee Injury)
Dobra A.
(Inactive)
Elliott G.
(Inactive)
Stirk R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Grigg W.
(Inactive)
Williams T.
(Surgery)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
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Pym C. (G) 
Rodgers H. 
Staunton R. 
Walker J. 
Tanton D. 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Oduor C. 
Donacien J. 
Artell D. 
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