Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)


	Chesterfield		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.33
	1.68	4	4
	1.73	4.28	4.23
	1.67	3.6	3.9
	1.7	3.98	4.25
	1.73	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.08)	3.91 ↑ (3.53)	4.12 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
54%

Draw
23.6%

Hartlepool United
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

26.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Chesterfield - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tyrer H. (G) 11. Colclough R. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. (C) 3. Horton B. 10. Jacobs M. 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 21. Palmer A.	1. Dixon J. (G) 10. Cooke C. 22. Crawford T. 20. Dieseruvwe E. 3. Ferguson D. (C) 12. Grey J. 5. Lacey A. 8. Mancini A. 23. Onariase E. 21. Seaman C. 6. Wallace K.
Substitutes
18. Berry-McNally J. 17. Dobra A. 26. Oldaker D. 27. Quigley J. 12. Williams T.	7. Hastie J. 13. Jameson P. (G) 24. Paterson B. 15. Pruti E. 9. Umerah J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
26.08.23	Altrincham - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Oxford City - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Fylde - Chesterfield	2:4 ✺
05.08.23	Chesterfield - Dorking Wanderers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWWW
- Hartlepool United
English National League
26.08.23	Hartlepool United - Fylde	3:1 ✺
19.08.23	Southend United - Hartlepool United	2:3 ✺
15.08.23	Hartlepool United - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Barnet - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
01.05.21	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	3:1
06.10.20	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	1:2
26.11.19	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	1:5
24.09.19	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	1:1
29.12.18	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	1:1
27.08.18	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	1:0
Club Friendly
01.08.15	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	0:1

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