Match Info

National League - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Southend United		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.2
	1.78	3.4	3.7
	1.8	3.55	4.05
	1.76	3.75	4.55
	1.31	5.01	9.12	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.76	3.64	4.17
	1.73	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)	3.73 ↑ (3.45)	4.76 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
54.9%

Draw
25.3%

Hartlepool United
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.5%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Southend United - Hartlepool United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Southend (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hartlepool (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 22. Appiah-Forson K. 33. Boyes H. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 9. Dallas A. 6. Goodliffe B. 15. Gubbins J. 24. Kendall C. 17. Miley C. (C) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H.	1. Cartwright H. (G) 7. Francis J. 15. Hunter J. 3. John C. 5. Kouogun M. 6. McNally R. 18. Miley J. 4. Parkes T. (C) 19. Reid A. 14. Sheron N. 23. Topalloj B.
Substitutes
10. Austin S. 7. Bridge J. 28. Coker O. 1. Hayes N. (G) 14. Hopper T. 23. Morton 18. Spasov S.	10. Campbell A. 11. Charman L. 28. Daly M. 17. Folarin S. 9. Johnson D. 40. Smith A. (G) 38. Walker B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Parkes T. (Own goal),
21', Miley C. 🟨,
27', Hunter J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Topalloj B. ↓, Charman L. ↑,
46', Hunter J. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
64', Kendall C. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
64', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Reid A. ⚽, Kouogun M. (A),
74', Miley C. ↓, Morton ↑,
74', Francis J. ↓, Walker B. ↑,
75', Parkes T. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
85', Boyes H. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
85', Dallas A. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
85', Reid A. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
89', John C. 🟨,
90', Folarin S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Southend is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Southend won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
23.08.25	Truro City - Southend United	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Southend United - York City	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Southend United - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Gateshead - Southend United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Southend United - Charlton Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWL
- Hartlepool United
English National League
23.08.25	Hartlepool United - Woking	3:0 ✺
19.08.25	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Yeovil Town - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Hartlepool United - South Shields	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.12.24	Southend United - Hartlepool United	0:0
17.08.24	Hartlepool United - Southend United	0:0
16.03.24	Hartlepool United - Southend United	0:0
19.08.23	Southend United - Hartlepool United	2:3
English League Two
06.04.15	Hartlepool United - Southend United	0:1
15.11.14	Southend United - Hartlepool United	1:0
18.02.14	Southend United - Hartlepool United	1:1

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