The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 48.2%
Draw 26.8%
Oldham Athletic 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
27.8%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
28.6%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
71.4%
0%
Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 29. Curtis S. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 26. Swinkels S. 11. Duffy D. 4. Naylor T. 36. Braybrooke S. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W.
1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 15. Drummond K. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 11. Stevens J. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 27. Hammond O.
Substitutes
28. Berry-McNally J. 10. Bonis L. 25. Dickson W. 44. Donacien J. 6. McFadzean K. 2. Owolabi-Belewu M. 8. Stirk R.
31. Donaghy T. (G) 14. Garner J. 21. Hawkes J. 3. Leake J. 26. Payne K. 40. Simeu D. 7. Taylor K.
Coaches
Cook P.
Mellon M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
22', 0 - 1, Drummond K. ⚽, Stevens J. (A),
26', Dunkley C. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽, Hudson M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dunkley C. ↓, McFadzean K. ↑,
46', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
46', Curtis S. ↓, Owolabi-Belewu M. ↑,
73', Dobra A. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Drummond K. ⚽, Hammond O. (A),
76', Drummond K. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
80', Stevens J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
86', Pett T. 🟨,
86', Pett T. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.
Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Oldham is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Chesterfield could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
United-kingdom
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Hemming Z. (G) 
Curtis S. 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Swinkels S. 
Dobra A. 
Grigg W. 
Daniels D. 
Monthe M. 
Robson J. 
Stevens J. 
Donacien J. 
Owolabi-Belewu M. 
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