Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Chesterfield		Southport

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.8
	2.15	3.75	2.9
	2.15	3.73	2.95
	2.21	3.7	2.81
	2	3.6	2.88
	2.12	3.66	2.97
	2.27	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.34)	3.62 ↓ (4.88)	2.87 ↓ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
42.8%

Draw
25.3%

Southport
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

17.9%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesterfield's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+26.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Chesterfield - Southport Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Southport will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Southport: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Chesterfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chesterfield is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chesterfield to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Chesterfield - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Chesterfield - Eastleigh	3:2 ✺
21.11.23	Woking - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Southend United - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Chesterfield - Barnet	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Southport
English National League North
25.11.23	Buxton - Southport	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Scunthorpe United - Southport	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Southport - South Shields	4:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Southport - Farsley	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Southport - South Shields	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWTW

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