Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Rollason G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Chesterfield		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.35
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.62	3.6	2.7
	2.6	3.24	2.69	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.49	3.45	2.51	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.58)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	2.56 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
36.5%

Draw
27.4%

Wigan Athletic
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

26.1%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Chesterfield - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 38. Jessop L. 5. Grimes J. 6. Araujo H. 3. Horton B. 8. Oldaker D. 17. Dobra A. 15. Hobson B. 7. Mandeville L. 18. Berry-McNally J. 31. Drummond K.	12. Watson T. (G) 2. Ramsay C. 23. Carragher J. 17. Sibbick T. 19. Robinson L. 16. Adeeko B. 8. Smith M. 20. McManaman C. (C) 14. Sze C. 11. Olakigbe M. 9. Hugill J.
Substitutes
11. Colclough R. 40. Cook C. 19. Gordon L. 9. Grigg W. 24. Markanday D. 2. Sheckleford R. 1. Thompson M. (G)	10. Aasgaard T. 45. Dummett P. 27. Payne K. 18. Smith J. 21. Smith S. 28. Taylor D. 1. Tickle S. (G)
Coaches
Cook P.	Maloney S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Dobra A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, McManaman C. ⚽, Hugill J. (A),
24', Sze C. 🟨,
38', Dobra A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dobra A. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
46', Robinson L. ↓, Dummett P. ↑,
57', McManaman C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
58', Sze C. ↓, Aasgaard T. ↑,
63', Smith M. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
65', Horton B. 🟨,
65', Jessop L. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
66', Mandeville L. ↓, Colclough R. ↑,
70', Ramsay C. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Berry-McNally J. (Pen),
79', Horton B. ↓, Cook C. ↑,
79', Drummond K. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
83', Smith S. 🟨,
83', Grigg W. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Markanday D. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Hugill J. ⚽,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
07.12.24	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	3:0 ✺
03.12.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Exeter City - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
English League Two
23.11.24	Chesterfield - Barrow	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Harrogate Town - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
07.12.24	Wigan Athletic - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
03.12.24	Huddersfield Town - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Cambridge United - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ET ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Wigan Athletic - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Barnsley - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.18	Chesterfield - Wigan Athletic	1:1
English League One
16.01.16	Wigan Athletic - Chesterfield	3:1
05.09.15	Chesterfield - Wigan Athletic	2:3

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