The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Harrogate Town 18.1%
Draw 25.2%
Chesterfield 56.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
26%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
25.2%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
12.5%
50%
Harrogate Town - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (C) 24. Cass L. 6. Burrell W. 4. Evans J. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Bradbury T. 21. Taylor E. 8. Morris B. 9. McCoulsky S. 22. Smith R. 11. Duke-McKenna S.
1. Hemming Z. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 18. Dibley-Dias M. 8. Stirk R. 17. Dobra A. 27. Darcy R. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
2. Asare Z. 20. Faulkner B. 27. Fox B. 19. Hill T. 14. McAleny C. 18. Muldoon J. 1. Oxley M. (G)
23. Boot R. (G) 13. Fleck J. 9. Grigg W. 3. Lewis A. 7. Mandeville L. 24. Markanday D. 4. Naylor T.
Coaches
Weaver S.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Darcy R. ⚽, Bonis L. (A),
39', Dibley-Dias M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, McCoulsky S. (A),
63', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
63', Duffy D. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
74', Darcy R. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
75', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
77', Taylor E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
81', Bradbury T. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Dunkley C. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
83', Stirk R. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
87', Burrell W. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Chesterfield is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Ankle Injury)
Sutton L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J.
(Injury)
Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanton D.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Chesterfield - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.32%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Belshaw J. (C) 
O'Connor A. 
Duke-McKenna S. 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Gordon L. 
Stirk R. 
Dobra A. 
Bonis L. 
