The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 48.6%
Draw 26.2%
Chesterfield 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
27.2%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
26.6%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter City's performance.
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesterfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Exeter City - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 2. McMillan J. 4. Crama T. 8. Francis E. 26. Sweeney P. (C) 47. Richards J. 6. Woods R. 14. Niskanen I. 10. Aitchison J. 11. Alli M. 27. Magennis J.
1. Thompson M. (G) 2. Sheckleford R. 5. Grimes J. (C) 12. Williams T. 3. Horton B. 8. Oldaker D. 4. Naylor T. 10. Jacobs M. 11. Colclough R. 9. Grigg W. 18. Berry-McNally J.
Substitutes
31. Bird J. 19. Cox S. 20. Doyle K. 5. Fitzwater J. 18. Harper V. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 28. McDonald K. 3. Purrington B. 17. Watts C.
6. Araujo H. 28. Banks O. 23. Boot R. (G) 40. Cook C. 17. Dobra A. 19. Gordon L. 38. Jessop L. 33. Madden P. 7. Mandeville L.
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Jacobs M. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Crama T. ⚽, Woods R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Naylor T. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
47', Woods R. 🟨,
48', Oldaker D. 🟨,
54', Francis E. 🟨,
66', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Magennis J. ⚽,
70', Richards J. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
72', Sheckleford R. ↓, Jessop L. ↑,
72', Horton B. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
78', Magennis J. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
78', Niskanen I. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
82', Aitchison J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
83', McMillan J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
Exeter will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.5:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
Watch
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Whitworth J. (G) 
McMillan J. 
Crama T. 
Sweeney P. (C) 
Niskanen I. 
Magennis J. 
Harper V. 
Watts C. 
Dobra A. 
Jessop L. 
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