Match Info

League Two - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chesterfield		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.10	4.75	Watch
	1.61	4.20	4.60
	1.68	3.80	4.60	Watch
	1.65	4.13	5.27
	1.75	3.96	4.09	Watch
	1.62	4.00	5.00
	1.62	4.12	4.77	Watch
	1.59	4.00	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)	4.04 ↑ (3.73)	4.75 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
57.1%

Draw
23.2%

Tranmere Rovers
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 33. Hutton R. 5. McFadzean K. (C) 6. Simpson J. 19. Gordon L. 8. Stirk R. 20. McEachran G. 24. Markanday D. 18. Marsh L. 31. Randall J. 10. Bonis L.	12. Male H. (G) 2. Senior J. 16. Faulkner B. 5. Smith N. 3. Slater J. 6. Vaulks W. (C) 11. Conlon T. 17. Okoro Z. 10. Ince T. 7. Whitaker C. 9. Ironside J.
Substitutes
9. Bryden F. 27. Dyer K. 26. Eccleston J. 37. Koroma J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 46. Pearce T.	13. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 23. Brough P. 8. Finley S. 29. Jones D. 24. Kamara D. 22. O'Connor L. 44. Watson R.
Coaches
Cook P.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Cook P. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Markanday D. ⚽, Hutton R. (A),
18', Conlon T. 🟨,
21', Bonis L. 🟨,
34', Okoro Z. ↓, Jones D. ↑,
41', Ironside J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
54', McEachran G. 🟨,
57', Senior J. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Jones D. ⚽, Ince T. (A),
61', Ironside J. ↓, Kamara D. ↑,
61', Conlon T. ↓, Finley S. ↑,
71', Randall J. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
79', McFadzean K. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Marsh L. ⚽, Markanday D. (A),
85', 3 - 1, Koroma J. ⚽, Marsh L. (A),
87', Gordon L. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
87', Hutton R. ↓, Eccleston J. ↑,
88', McEachran G. ↓, Dyer K. ↑,
88', Marsh L. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Koroma J. ⚽, Bonis L. (A),
90+4', 4 - 2, Slater J. ⚽, Finley S. (A),

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.

Chesterfield has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Tranmere have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Chesterfield carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Chesterfield: Dickson W. (Inactive) Owolabi-Belewu M. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Tranmere: Jennings C. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Chesterfield: Hemming Z. (Inactive) Sotiriou R. (Inactive).

Our forecast points to a victory for Chesterfield in today's match, at odds of 1.67.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chesterfield against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Chesterfield: 9.07% Tranmere: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chesterfield	10	4	3	3	17:14	3	15
13	Tranmere	10	2	6	2	13:13	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
26.09.26	Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Chesterfield - Port Vale	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Chesterfield - York City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
15.09.26	Chesterfield - Manchester City U21	5:3 ✺
English League Two
12.09.26	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
26.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Exeter City - Tranmere Rovers	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.04.26	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
25.10.25	Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield	1:1
05.04.25	Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield	4:0
07.12.24	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	3:0
English FA Cup
01.12.12	Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield	2:1
English League Cup
14.08.12	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	N/A

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