Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Cray Valley Paper Mills

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.35	2.82
	2.22	3.44	2.9
	2.22	3.55	2.81	Watch
	2.29	3.63	2.81
	2.2	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 (2.22)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)	2.84 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
41.3%

Draw
26.3%

Cray Valley Paper Mills
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Liburd R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carshalton won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carshalton won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Carshalton won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Carshalton Athletic - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.25	St Albans City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	1:1 ✺
11.11.25	Lewes - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWTW
- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Dartford	1:1 ✺
18.11.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:3 ✺
11.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Billericay Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Aveley	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.08.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Carshalton Athletic	0:2
01.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:2
26.08.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:2
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Carshalton Athletic	2:1
30.09.23	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:3
Club Friendly
24.08.20	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:2

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