Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Guido Angelini (Chieti)


	Chieti		Termoli

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.1	2.2
	3.07	3.15	2.22	Watch
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.22	3.33	2.18
	3.55	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.55)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chieti
28.8%

Draw
28.9%

Termoli
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.6%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chieti - Termoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chieti won 3.

Recent form of Chieti has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Termoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Termoli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chieti won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chieti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Termoli	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.02.26	Ancona - Chieti	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Chieti - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	L Aquila - Chieti	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Chieti - Teramo	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Sammaurese - Chieti	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTLL
- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.02.26	Termoli - Giulianova	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Castelfidardo - Termoli	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Termoli - UniPomezia	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Termoli - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
19.10.25	Termoli - Chieti	1:1
27.10.24	Chieti - Termoli	3:0
07.04.24	Chieti - Termoli	3:0
26.11.23	Termoli - Chieti	0:0
23.04.23	Chieti - Termoli	3:1
11.12.22	Termoli - Chieti	1:0

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