Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Sammaurese		Chieti

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.1	2.2
	2.84	3.26	2.3	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.3
	2.86	3.13	2.32
	2.83	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.35)	3.12 ↓ (3.28)	2.28 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sammaurese
31.4%

Draw
29%

Chieti
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.7%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27.3%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sammaurese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chieti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chieti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sammaurese - Chieti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Valentini F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Varriale A. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Nisi F. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Sammaurese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chieti is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sammaurese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.01.26	Recanatese - Sammaurese	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sammaurese - Castelfidardo	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sammaurese - San Marino Calcio	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	Sammaurese - Ancona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTLL
- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.01.26	Chieti - Sora	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Fossombrone - Chieti	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Maceratese - Chieti	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Giulianova - Chieti	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
27.11.16	Chieti - Sammaurese	0:1

Sammaurese - Chieti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide