Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Termoli		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.68
	2.3	3.41	2.73	Watch
	2.29	3.3	2.77
	2.28	3.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.72 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termoli
39.8%

Draw
26.9%

Recanatese
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Termoli - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Termoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Termoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Termoli	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7
15	Recanatese	6	1	3	2	8:9	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Recanatese - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.01.26	Ancona - Termoli	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Termoli - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	L Aquila - Termoli	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Termoli - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Notaresco - Termoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.01.26	Recanatese - Sammaurese	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Notaresco - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Fossombrone - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Recanatese - Teramo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Sora - Recanatese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
21.09.25	Recanatese - Termoli	1:1
21.12.24	Termoli - Recanatese	0:1

Termoli - Recanatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide