Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Castelfidardo |
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Termoli |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.92 |
3.15 |
2.2 |
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 |
2.97 |
3.2 |
2.25 |
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3 |
3.06 |
2.27 |
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3 |
3.1 |
2.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.92) |
3.13 ↓
(3.15) |
2.24 ↑
(2.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castelfidardo
30.5% | Draw
29% | Termoli
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (-1.2%)Castelfidardo - Termoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 36', 0 - 1, Romano G. ⚽,
- 36', 0 - 2, Avolio V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+15', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Termoli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Termoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Termoli - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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