Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 18

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Varesina		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.12
	3.34	3.35	2.02	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.09	3.22	2.14
	3.2	3.14	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.96)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
28.8%

Draw
27.7%

Folgore Caratese
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Varesina - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Folgore Caratese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 2.

Recent form of Varesina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Folgore Caratese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Folgore Caratese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Varesina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Folgore Caratese - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.84%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.25	Varesina - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Breno - Varesina	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Varesina - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Chievo - Varesina	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Varesina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.25	Sondrio - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Folgore Caratese - Brusaporto	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Oltrepo - Folgore Caratese	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Folgore Caratese - Scanzorosciate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
07.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:1
23.02.25	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:0
23.10.24	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	1:0
18.02.24	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:0
15.10.23	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	4:0
19.02.23	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0
16.10.22	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	0:2

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