The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chievo 42.2%
Draw 32.4%
Frosinone 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
30.3%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
19.8%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chievo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frosinone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chievo - Frosinone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 10).
Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (72%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Frosinone has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Chievo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Frosinone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Chievo will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Chievo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Chievo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.