Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 27

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Max
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Frosinone		Lecce

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.38	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.38	3.38	3.15
	2.38	3.35	3.23
	2.25	3.3	3.2
	2.39	3.44	3.27	Watch
	2.34	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.28)	3.32 ↓ (3.51)	3.18 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
41%

Draw
28.9%

Lecce
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.7%	40%	14.3%

Frosinone - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 16 - 45.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 29.2% – 62.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 19. Zortea N. 6. Romagnoli S. 5. Okoli C. 32. Valeri E. 4. Brescianini M. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 14. Gelli F. 18. Soule M. 70. Cheddira W. 21. Harroui A.	30. Falcone W. (G) 17. Gendrey V. 5. Pongracic M. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 25. Gallo A. 77. Kaba M. 20. Ramadani Y. 8. Rafia H. 7. Almqvist P. 9. Krstovic N. 22. Banda L.
Substitutes
7. Baez J. 45. Barrenechea E. 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 29. Ghedjemis F. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 9. Kaio Jorge 17. Kvernadze G. 20. Lirola P. 30. Monterisi I. 12. Reinier 8. Seck D. 80. Turati S. (G)	18. Berisha M. 29. Blin A. 13. Dorgu P. 16. Gonzalez J. 10. Oudin R. 91. Piccoli R. 50. Pierotti S. 40. Samooja J. (G) 11. Sansone N. 59. Touba A. 12. Venuti L.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	D'Aversa R.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 16 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 0.

Frosinone has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lecce is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frosinone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Frosinone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
25.02.24	Juventus - Frosinone	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Frosinone - Roma	0:3 ✺
11.02.24	Fiorentina - Frosinone	5:1 ✺
03.02.24	Frosinone - Milan	2:3 ✺
28.01.24	Verona - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
25.02.24	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
16.02.24	Torino - Lecce	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Bologna - Lecce	4:0 ✺
02.02.24	Lecce - Fiorentina	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Genoa - Lecce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.12.23	Lecce - Frosinone	2:1
Italian Serie B
02.04.22	Lecce - Frosinone	1:0
20.11.21	Frosinone - Lecce	0:0
20.03.21	Frosinone - Lecce	0:3
12.12.20	Lecce - Frosinone	2:2
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Lecce - Frosinone	4:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
07.06.14	Frosinone - Lecce	3:1 ET

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