Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday ⏱️ In 9h 57m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Bangladesh	23:30	Begin
Belarus	20:30	Sport TV
Bolivia	13:30	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	00:30	MyTV
Canada	13:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network
China	01:30	Migu
Colombia	12:30	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:30	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:30	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	12:30	ESPN 2
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:30	DAZN France
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4
India	23:00	ZEE5
Indonesia	00:30	Vidio
Iraq	20:30	Almanasa
Israel	19:30	5 SPORT Israel, Sport 1
Italy	18:30	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	23:30	Qazsport
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	20:30	Shasha
Macao	01:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	01:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	22:30	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:30	VG+
Paraguay	14:30	ESPN 2
Peru	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:30	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	18:30	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport Football
South Korea	02:30	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Suriname	14:30	SCCN
Sweden	18:30	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	18:30	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:30	S Sport 2
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	13:30	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Frosinone		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.10	4.50
	1.68	4.20	4.50
	1.65	4.00	4.60
	1.75	4.24	4.56
	1.67	4.2	4.7	Watch
	1.68	4.15	4.45
	1.72	4.37	4.89
	1.66	4.30	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.93)	4.2 ↑ (3.76)	4.59 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
56.5%

Draw
22.7%

Lecce
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frosinone's performance.

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frosinone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Frosinone - Lecce Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 1 - 50%). Lecce (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Frosinone (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Frosinone will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lecce (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 0.

Frosinone is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Lecce have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Frosinone is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Frosinone: Grillitsch F. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lecce: Coulibaly L. (Thigh Injury) Gaspar K. (Red Card) Ilic I. (Thigh Injury) Pierotti S. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury) Tiago Gabriel (Injury).

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Frosinone has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:18 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frosinone against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	17:13	4	14
14	Lecce	8	3	0	5	9:14	-5	9

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Frosinone: 0.22% Lecce: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
25.10.26	Atalanta - Frosinone	4:4 ✺
16.10.26	Frosinone - Sassuolo	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	Napoli - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Frosinone - Benevento	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Frosinone - Como	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWLWW
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
25.10.26	Lecce - Juventus	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Udinese - Lecce	0:3 ✺
11.10.26	Lecce - Bologna	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lecce - Monza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.03.24	Frosinone - Lecce	1:1
16.12.23	Lecce - Frosinone	2:1
Italian Serie B
02.04.22	Lecce - Frosinone	1:0
20.11.21	Frosinone - Lecce	0:0
20.03.21	Frosinone - Lecce	0:3
12.12.20	Lecce - Frosinone	2:2
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Lecce - Frosinone	4:1

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