Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday


	Lecce		Chievo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.4
	2.4	2.95	3.25	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.2
	2.4	3.09	3.48
	2.35	3	3.3
	2.4	3.09	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.36)	3.02 ↓ (3.11)	3.3 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
40.1%

Draw
31.3%

Chievo
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

21.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lecce - Chievo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).

Lecce has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (75%), has a chance of promoted (33%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (73%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Lecce is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chievo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lecce will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
07.03.21	Reggiana - Lecce	0:4 ✺
02.03.21	Lecce - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Pescara - Lecce	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
13.02.21	Cremonese - Lecce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTWW
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
08.03.21	Chievo - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
02.03.21	Chievo - Pordenone	3:0 ✺
27.02.21	Nuova Cosenza - Chievo	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	Chievo - Monza	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Brescia - Chievo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.11.20	Chievo - Lecce	1:2
Italian Serie A
13.05.12	Chievo - Lecce	1:0

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