Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Frosinone		Torino

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2.1
	3.55	3.35	2.12	Watch
	3.77	3.34	2.17
	3.77	3.34	2.16
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.62	3.32	2.14	Watch
	3.7	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.14)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
26.3%

Draw
28.7%

Torino
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

29.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.9%	40.5%	40.5%

Frosinone - Torino Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 7 - 18.9%). Torino will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 40.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torino: 24.7% – 56.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Turati S. (G) 30. Monterisi I. 5. Okoli C. 6. Romagnoli S. (C) 16. Garritano L. 4. Brescianini M. 14. Gelli F. 22. Oyono A. 18. Soule M. 9. Kaio Jorge 27. Ibrahimovic A.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 61. Tameze A. 4. Buongiorno A. 13. Rodriguez R. (C) 19. Bellanova R. 28. Ricci S. 8. Ilic I. 27. Vojvoda M. 16. Vlasic N. 9. Sanabria A. 91. Zapata D.
Substitutes
7. Baez J. 24. Bourabia M. 10. Caso G. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 70. Cheddira W. 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 21. Harroui A. 17. Kvernadze G. 20. Lirola P. 8. Lulic K. 47. Lusuardi M.	26. Djidji K. 1. Gemello L. (G) 66. Gineitis G. 7. Karamoh Y. 20. Lazaro V. 11. Pellegri P. 71. Popa M. (G) 15. Sazonov S. 23. Seck D. 93. Soppy B. 6. Zima D.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Juric I.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Torino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Torino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
02.12.23	Milan - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Frosinone - Genoa	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Inter Milan - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Frosinone - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Torino - Frosinone	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWLWW
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
04.12.23	Torino - Atalanta	3:0 ✺
27.11.23	Bologna - Torino	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Monza - Torino	1:1 ✺
06.11.23	Torino - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Torino - Frosinone	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Torino - Frosinone	1:2 ET
Italian Serie A
10.03.19	Frosinone - Torino	1:2
05.10.18	Torino - Frosinone	3:2
16.01.16	Torino - Frosinone	4:2
23.08.15	Frosinone - Torino	1:2

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