Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Municipal Jalapa		Diriangén

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.75
	3.85	3.6	1.72	Watch
	3.99	3.61	1.79
	3.98	3.82	1.8	Watch
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.24	3.68	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.73)	3.64 ↓ (3.93)	1.77 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Jalapa
23.1%

Draw
25.2%

Diriangén
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

23.3%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

24.4%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diriangén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Municipal Jalapa - Diriangén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 0.

Jalapa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Diriangén's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jalapa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jalapa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Diriangén is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:38. (average 0.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jalapa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Diriangen	10	8	2	0	22:7	15	26
9	Jalapa	10	1	2	7	6:16	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.02.26	Managua - Municipal Jalapa	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Municipal Jalapa	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Municipal Jalapa - Rancho Santana	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWWW
- Diriangén FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.02.26	Diriangén - Rancho Santana	5:1 ✺
22.02.26	Diriangén - Managua	1:1 ✺
19.02.26	Real Madriz - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
24.01.26	Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa	2:1
27.09.25	Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa	0:0
15.02.25	Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa	4:1
16.11.24	Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa	6:0
18.09.24	Municipal Jalapa - Diriangén	2:2
08.05.24	Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa	1:0
04.05.24	Municipal Jalapa - Diriangén	0:2

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