Match Info

Date: 20 September 2020, Sunday


	Chinandega		Walter Ferretti

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.83
	3.45	3.5	1.8
	3.5	3.5	1.88
	3.52	3.58	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)	3.55 ↓ (3.58)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chinandega
25.9%

Draw
25.5%

Walter Ferretti
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25.7%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

20.6%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chinandega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chinandega than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Walter Ferretti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Liga Primera (Apertura to Winners: Quartertofinals) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Liga Primera (Apertura to Winners: Semitofinals)).

Chinandega is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Walter Ferretti is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Walter Ferretti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Walter Ferretti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Chinandega won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Chinandega won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chinandega FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
13.09.20	Municipal Jalapa - Chinandega	1:1 ✺
06.09.20	Chinandega - Juventus Managua	3:2 ✺
30.08.20	Real Madriz - Chinandega	0:1 ✺
23.08.20	Chinandega - Junior Managua	2:2 ✺
16.08.20	Chinandega - Deportivo Ocotal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWTW
- Deportivo Walter Ferretti
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
12.09.20	Walter Ferretti - Deportivo Ocotal	2:0 ✺
05.09.20	Managua - Walter Ferretti	1:2 ✺
29.08.20	Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí	0:0 ✺
22.08.20	Diriangén - Walter Ferretti	0:1 ✺
16.08.20	Junior Managua - Walter Ferretti	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
29.03.20	Walter Ferretti - Chinandega	7:0
20.10.19	Chinandega - Walter Ferretti	1:1
09.08.19	Walter Ferretti - Chinandega	1:2
07.04.19	Chinandega - Walter Ferretti	0:3
09.02.19	Walter Ferretti - Chinandega	4:0
07.10.18	Chinandega - Walter Ferretti	2:2
05.09.18	Walter Ferretti - Chinandega	0:0

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