The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Walter Ferretti 21.2%
Draw 24%
Real Estelí 54.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.6%
27.6%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
27.3%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walter Ferretti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walter Ferretti's form might have worsened.
Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Estelí's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walter Ferretti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Estelí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Estelí (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walter Ferretti won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Walter Ferretti could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Real Estelí has had a run of games away from home.
Real Estelí carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Walter Ferretti has recorded 2 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:37 (averaging 1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Walter Ferretti against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 7:18 goals (averaging 0.8:2 per game).
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